UN Comtrade SITC 22: Oil Seed Trade Value Analysis by Region & Country
Net Present Value (NPV) is a financial metric that calculates the present value of future cash flows generated by a project or investment, minus the initial investment. It's used to assess the profitability of an investment.
NPV = ∑ [Cash Flow / (1 + r)^t] - Initial Investment| Symbol | Description |
|---|---|
| NPV | Net Present Value |
| CF | Cash Flow |
| r | Discount Rate |
| t | Time period |
| Formula | Meaning |
|---|---|
| NPV = Σ [CF / (1 + r)^t] - Initial Investment | Calculates the present value of future cash flows minus the initial investment |
Note:
Note: This example demonstrates the basic structure of an NPV calculation table. Actual calculations will vary based on specific project data.
| Year | Cash Flow | Discount Rate | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | -Initial Investment | |||
| 1 | Cash Flow Year 1 | Discount Rate | 1/(1+Discount Rate)^1 | Cash Flow Year 1 * Discount Factor |
| 2 | Cash Flow Year 2 | Discount Rate | 1/(1+Discount Rate)^2 | Cash Flow Year 2 * Discount Factor |
| 3 | Cash Flow Year 3 | Discount Rate | 1/(1+Discount Rate)^3 | Cash Flow Year 3 * Discount Factor |
| ... | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| n | Cash Flow Year n | Discount Rate | 1/(1+Discount Rate)^n | Cash Flow Year n * Discount Factor |
| NPV = Sum of Present Values |
Remember:
Assumptions:
| Year | Cash Flow | Discount Rate | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | -$100,000 | 10% | 1 | -$100,000 |
| 1 | $30,000 | 10% | 0.9091 | $27,273 |
| 2 | $35,000 | 10% | 0.8264 | $28,924 |
| 3 | $40,000 | 10% | 0.7513 | $30,052 |
| 4 | $45,000 | 10% | 0.6830 | $30,735 |
| 5 | $50,000 | 10% | 0.6209 | $31,045 |
| NPV = $48,029 |
Note:
In this example, the NPV is positive, indicating that the project is expected to generate more value than its initial cost and is therefore considered profitable.
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Cash Flow | Net amount of cash entering or leaving a business |
| Initial Investment | Total amount invested at the project's start |
| Discount Rate | Rate of return used to calculate present value of future cash flows |
| Time Period (n) | Length of time cash flows are generated |
| Present Value (PV) | Current value of future cash flows, discounted |
| NPV Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|
| NPV > 0 | Project is expected to be profitable |
| NPV = 0 | Project is expected to break even |
| NPV < 0 | Project is expected to result in a loss |
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Opportunity Cost | Potential benefit lost by choosing one alternative over another |
| Risk | Uncertainty associated with future cash flows |
| Sensitivity Analysis | Technique to assess how changes in input variables affect NPV |
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Net Present Value (NPV) | The difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows over a period of time. |
| Present Value (PV) | The current worth of a future sum of money or stream of cash flows given a specified rate of return. |
| Future Value (FV) | The value of an asset or cash at a specific date in the future based on an assumed rate of growth. |
| Time Value of Money | The concept that money available at the present time is worth more than the same amount in the future due to its potential earning capacity. |
| Discount Rate | The rate of return used to calculate the present value of future cash flows. |
| Cash Flow | The net amount of cash and cash-equivalent entering and leaving a business. |
| Initial Investment | The total amount of money invested at the beginning of a project. |
| Terminal Value | The estimated value of a business or project at the end of a forecast period. |
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Cash Inflow | The receipt of money or other assets that increase a company's funds. |
| Cash Outflow | The payment of money or other assets that decrease a company's funds. |
| Operating Cash Flow | The cash generated from a company's normal business operations. |
| Investing Cash Flow | The cash used in or provided by the purchase or sale of long-term assets and investments. |
| Financing Cash Flow | The cash used in or provided by financing activities, such as issuing debt or equity. |
| Free Cash Flow | The amount of cash that a company is able to generate after laying out the money required to maintain or expand its asset base. |
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Discount Rate | The rate of return used to calculate the present value of future cash flows. It represents the opportunity cost of capital or the required rate of return. |
| Discount Factor | A number by which a future cash flow is multiplied to determine its present value. |
| Time Value of Money | The concept that money available at the present time is worth more than the same amount in the future due to its potential earning capacity. |
| Opportunity Cost of Capital | The return that could be earned by investing the same money in an alternative investment with similar risk. |
| Risk Premium | The additional return required by investors to compensate for the risk associated with an investment. |
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Investment Appraisal | The process of evaluating the profitability or attractiveness of an investment. |
| Net Present Value (NPV) | The difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows over a period of time. |
| Internal Rate of Return (IRR) | The discount rate that makes the net present value (NPV) of all cash flows from a project equal to zero. |
| Payback Period | The length of time required to recover the initial investment in a project. |
| Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) | The average annual profit from an investment expressed as a percentage of the initial investment. |
| Profitability Index (PI) | The ratio of the present value of future cash flows to the initial investment. |
Net Present Value (NPV) is a financial metric used to determine the present value of a future stream of cash flows. It is calculated by discounting future cash flows back to their present value using a discount rate.
1. What is NPV?
2. How is NPV calculated?
NPV = ∑ [CFt / (1 + r)^t]
3. What is a discount rate?
4. Why is NPV important?
5. What is the decision rule for NPV?
6. What are the advantages of NPV?
7. What are the disadvantages of NPV?
8. What is the relationship between NPV and IRR?
9. What is the difference between NPV and payback period?
10. What are some common mistakes made when using NPV?